consulting, business planning and market analysis on wireless data technologies
 

Report highlights

  • In-depth analysis of the market dynamics for the two versions of WiMAX, 802.16-2004 and 802.16e, for both fixed and mobile services.
  • Extensive overview of WiMAX technology, competing technologies, regulation, and business models.
  • Detailed forecast of subscribers, service revenues and equipment revenues for 15 countries, 6 regions and for the worldwide market.

A free one-hour consultation with the author of the report is included with every purchased copy of the report.

WiMAX will dominate fixed broadband wireless market but mobile services using the technology will be slower to take off

Mobile and fixed 802.16e WiMAX to overshadow fixed-only 802.16-2004 WiMAX by 2010.

7 February 2006—WiMAX will quickly dominate the broadband wireless market, but its success in the mobile arena will be slower and more difficult to achieve, according to a new report from Senza Fili Consulting.

Despite this, the version of WiMAX that supports mobile access (802.16e) will be the clear winner over 802.16-2004 which only supports fixed services. Its superior performance meets the requirements of both fixed and mobile service providers and creates the economies of scale needed to drive equipment prices down. Even though it will not be available for a year or more after 802.16-2004, 57% of WiMAX subscribers will be using 802.16e by 2010.

However, mobile operators with 3G networks will not be the first to adopt WiMAX, according to Monica Paolini, author of the report. "New and established service providers that are eager to enter the mobility and portability market, but do not have cellular spectrum, will drive WiMAX adoption," she said.

WiMAX can offer both fixed and mobile access over the same infrastructure, opening the way for a new personal broadband service that gives users continuous broadband Internet access at home, at work, and while they are on the move.

By 2010, there will be 15.4 million WiMAX subscribers worldwide, generating over US$16 billion in service revenues. "The hottest markets will be emerging countries like China and Mexico where WiMAX is a cost-effective last-mile solution, and countries like Korea with a high demand for portable and mobile services," said Paolini. In 2010, 41% of subscribers will be in Asia Pacific countries.

WiMAX success will depend on the availability of WiMAX-certified products in the first half of 2006 for 802.16-2004 WiMAX, and early in 2007 for 802.16e WiMAX. It will also require a substantial price decline for portable and mobile subscriber units, which we forecast to reach the US$140-190 range by 2010.

This report assesses the technology and market potential of mobile and fixed WiMAX over the next five years. It includes an in-depth forecast of subscribers, service revenues and equipment revenues for 15 countries, six regions and for the worldwide market. The report is available at www.senzafiliconsulting.com.

Press Contact:
Monica Paolini
Phone: +1 425 657 4991
monica.paolini@senzafiliconsulting.com

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