Report highlights

In-depth analysis of the market dynamics for the two versions of WiMAX, 802.16-2004 and 802.16e, for both fixed and mobile services.
Extensive overview of WiMAX technology, competing technologies, regulation, and business models.
Detailed forecast of subscribers, service revenues and equipment revenues for 15 countries, 6 regions and for the worldwide market.

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Fixed or mobile WiMAX? Forecasts and assessment for the transition from 802.16-2004 to 802.16e WiMAX

Executive Summary

Fixed and mobile WiMAX: two technologies and two markets?
1. 1.1 Why a mobile WiMAX?
2. 1.2 802.16-2004 WiMAX: dead on arrival?
3. 1.3 A transition to mobility through portability
4. 1.4 Report roadmap
A comparison between 802.16-2004 and 802.16e WiMAX
1. 2.1 The difference between 802.16 and WiMAX
2. 2.2 Standardization efforts at the IEEE
  1. 2.2.1 The IEEE 802.16 standard
  2. 2.2.2 802.16-2004: the basis for WiMAX for fixed services
  3. 2.2.3 802.16e: the amendment that supports mobility
  4. 2.2.4 Handoffs and interworking
  5. 2.2.5 Further requirements for mobility not included in the IEEE standard
3. 2.3 Technology overview
  1. 2.3.1 System and certification profiles
  2. 2.3.2 What is WiMAX? System profiles for 802.16-2004 and 802.16e WiMAX
  3. 2.3.3 OFDM
  4. 2.3.4 OFDMA and SOFDMA
  5. 2.3.5 Why isn't 802.16e WiMAX backwards-compatible with 802.16-2004 WiMAX?
  6. 2.3.6 Duplexing: TDD and FDD
  7. 2.3.7 Adaptive Modulation Coding (AMC)
  8. 2.3.8 Maximum and expected, real-life throughput and range
  9. 2.3.9 Reuse factor
  10. 2.3.10 Security
  11. 2.3.11 QoS
  12. 2.3.12 Multiple antenna technologies: STC, MIMO, and AAS
4. 2.4 The WiMAX Forum
  1. 2.4.1 The role of the WiMAX Forum
  2. 2.4.2 The need for certification: isn't a standard enough?
  3. 2.4.3 The WiMAX Forum certification program
  4. 2.4.4 WiMAX certification profiles
  5. 2.4.5 WiMAX certification waves
5. 2.5 WiBRO
6. 2.6 Upgrade paths to portability and mobility
  1. 2.6.1 The need for a smooth transition
  2. 2.6.2 Different transition paths
  3. 2.6.3 Who needs to upgrade?
Competing technologies
1. 3.1 DSL, cable modem and other fixed technologies
2. 3.2 Wi-Fi
  1. 3.2.1 The public access hotspot market
  2. 3.2.2 The last mile market
3. 3.3 3G technologies: EV-DO, WCDMA/HSDPA and TD-CDMA
  1. 3.3.1 Will WiMAX be faster than 3G?
  2. 3.3.2 .or will it be cheaper?
  3. 3.3.3 Friends or foes?
  4. 3.3.4 IP Wireless TD-CDMA
4. 3.4 Qualcomm's FLASH-OFDM
5. 3.5 Pre-WiMAX proprietary technologies
6. 3.6 Where does WiMAX fit?
Business models for fixed and mobile services
1. 4.1 Product timeline
2. 4.2 Spectrum availability and regulation
  1. 4.2.1 Choosing a spectrum band
  2. 4.2.2 Licensed or license-exempt spectrum?
  3. 4.2.3 Worldwide spectrum availability
3. 4.3 Services and applications
4. 4.4 A facilities-based approach to last mile connectivity
5. 4.5 Fixed, portable or mobile?
6. 4.6 Business and residential market segments
7. 4.7 Rural and metropolitan markets
8. 4.8 Municipal networks
9. 4.9 Developed and emerging markets
The vendors' perspective
1. 5.1 Chipset manufacturers
  1. 5.1.1 Beceem
  2. 5.1.2 Fujitsu
  3. 5.1.3 Intel
  4. 5.1.4 picoChip
  5. 5.1.5 TeleCIS Wireless
  6. 5.1.6 SEQUANS Communications
  7. 5.1.7 Runcom
  8. 5.1.8 Wavesat
2. 5.2 WiMAX vendors
  1. 5.2.1 Airspan
  2. 5.2.2 Alcatel
  3. 5.2.3 Alvarion
  4. 5.2.4 Aperto Networks
  5. 5.2.5 Motorola
  6. 5.2.6 Navini Networks
  7. 5.2.7 NextNet Wireless
  8. 5.2.8 Nortel
  9. 5.2.9 Proxim Wireless
  10. 5.2.10 Redline Communications
  11. 5.2.11 Samsung
  12. 5.2.12 Siemens
  13. 5.2.13 SOMA Networks
  14. 5.2.14 SkyPilot Networks
  15. 5.2.15 SR Telecom
Worldwide demand for 802.16-2004 and 802.16e WiMAX
1. 6.1 Scope and methodology
2. 6.2 Fixed and mobile broadband forecast
  1. 6.2.1 Fixed broadband
  2. 6.2.2 Mobile broadband
3. 6.3 Global WiMAX forecast
  1. 6.3.1 Subscribers
  2. 6.3.2 Service revenues from data and VoIP
  3. 6.3.3 Equipment revenues
4. 6.4 North America
  1. 6.4.1 United States
  2. 6.4.2 Canada
5. 6.5 Latin America
  1. 6.5.1 Brazil
  2. 6.5.2 Mexico
  3. 6.5.3 Argentina
6. 6.6 Western Europe
  1. 6.6.1 Germany
  2. 6.6.2 UK
  3. 6.6.3 France
  4. 6.6.4 Italy
  5. 6.6.5 Spain
  6. 6.7 Eastern Europe
7. 6.8 Asia Pacific
  1. 6.8.1 China
  2. 6.8.2 Japan
  3. 6.8.3 Korea
  4. 6.8.4 India
  5. 6.8.5 Australia
8. 6.9 Rest of the World
Conclusions

Annex: Acronyms

List of Figures

Figure 1. Timescale for 802.16-2004 and 802.16e WiMAX
Figure 2. Point-to-point and multipoint networks in different spectrum bands
Figure 3. System and certification profiles
Figure 4. Multipath environment
Figure 5. Single and multiple carrier transmission
Figure 6. OFDM and OFDMA with multiple access
Figure 7. Uplink in OFDM and OFDMA
Figure 8. Modulation schemes: QAM 64, QAM 16, QPSK
Figure 9. MIMO's performance improvement for Wi-Fi and 802.16e WiMAX
Figure 10. WiBRO timeline
Figure 11. Transition paths to 802.16e WiMAX
Figure 12. Competing technologies
Figure 13. Product availability and services timeline
Figure 14. Worldwide spectrum availability for WiMAX
Figure 15. WiMAX spectrum bands
Figure 16. Competitive landscape for chip vendors
Figure 18. Market focus of WiMAX vendors
Figure 20. Samsung WiBRO mobile phone and PDA
Figure 21. Forecast model for demand for fixed and mobile broadband
Figure 22. Fixed broadband forecast
- 22.1 Global fixed broadband subscribers by technology
- 22.2 Global fixed broadband subscribers by region
- 22.3 Global fixed BWA broadband subscribers by region
- 22.4 WiMAX market share of fixed BWA subscriptions
Figure 23. Mobile broadband forecast
- 23.1 Mobile broadband subscribers by device type
- 23.2 Mobile broadband subscribers by region
- 23.3 Mobile broadband market share of broadband
- 23.4 Mobile WiMAX market share of mobile broadband
Figure 24. 802.16-2004 and 802.16e WiMAX global subscribers
Figure 25. WiMAX subscribers forecast
- 25.1 WiMAX subscribers by region
- 25.2 Fixed 802.16-2004 WiMAX subscribers by region
- 25.3 Fixed 802.16e WiMAX subscribers by region
- 25.4 Mobile 802.16e WiMAX subscribers by region
Figure 26. Market size and WiMAX penetration by country and region in 2010
- 26.1 Percentage of WiMAX global subscribers
- 26.2 Ratio of WiMAX to broadband subscribers
Figure 27. Global service revenues
- 27.1 VoIP and data service revenues
- 27.2 Data revenues by market segment
- 27.3 Residential, business and mobile ARPU
Figure 28. Global equipment revenues
- 28.1 Equipment revenues for CPEs and base stations
- 28.2 Equipment revenues by region
- 28.3 Indoor, outdoor, portable/mobile CPE sales
- 28.4 CPE and base station average selling price
Figure 29. USA data charts*
Figure 30. Canada data charts*
Figure 31. Latin America data charts*
Figure 32. Brazil data charts*
Figure 33. Mexico data charts*
Figure 34. Argentina data charts*
Figure 35. Western Europe data charts*
Figure 36. Germany data charts*
Figure 37. UK data charts*
Figure 38. France data charts*
Figure 39. Italy data charts*
Figure 40. Spain data charts*
Figure 41. Eastern Europe data charts*
Figure 42. Asia Pacific data charts*
Figure 43. China data charts*
Figure 44. Japan data charts*
Figure 45. Korea data charts*
Figure 46. India data charts*
Figure 47. Australia data charts*
Figure 48. Rest of the World data charts*

(*) For each market, charts include:

Fixed and mobile broadband subscribers
Fixed and mobile WiMAX subscribers
Data and VoIP service revenues
Data revenues by market segment
Residential, business and mobile ARPU
Equipment revenues

List of Tables

Table 1. A definition of fixed and mobile access
Table 2. 802.16-2004 and 802.16e WiMAX compared
Table 3. WiMAX terminology
Table 4. IEEE 802.16 and WiMAX
Table 5. Versions of the IEEE 802.16 standard
Table 6. 802.16-2004 and 802.16e WiMAX system profiles
Table 7. Number of sub-carriers in SOFDMA
Table 8. FDD and TDD
Table 9. Maximum throughput (Mbps) using different modulation schemes in 802.16-2004 WiMAX
Table 10. Range, throughput and users supported by one base station
Table 11. MIMO spectral efficiency and throughput
Table 12. WiMAX Forum Working Groups and their charters
Table 13. 802.16-2004 WiMAX Forum certification profiles
Table 14. WiMAX certification waves
Table 15. WiBRO specifications
Table 16. Competing technologies in different market segments
Table 17. WiMAX against DSL and cable modem
Table 18. 802.16e WiMAX, FLASH-OFDM and 3G: throughput
Table 19. 802.16e WiMAX, FLASH-OFDM and 3G: cell range and spectrum bands
Table 20. Licensed or license-exempt spectrum
Table 21. NextWeb and Covad: adopting a facilities-based approach
Table 22. The WiMAX opportunity for service providers
Table 23. Service operators trialing or committed to deploying WiMAX
Table 24. WiMAX (plus Wi-Fi) on trains: Nomad Digital and T-Mobile
Table 25. Business and residential market segments
Table 26. Telabria: addressing both the residential and business market
Table 27. Rural and metropolitan deployments
Table 28. Libera: using license-exempt spectrum in metropolitan areas
Table 29. Developed and emerging markets
Table 30. Ultravision: from wireless cable to wireless broadband
Table 31. Chipset developers' product roadmap and partnerships
Table 32. Airspan
Table 33. Alcatel
Table 34. Alvarion
Table 35. Aperto Networks
Table 36. Motorola
Table 37. Navini Networks
Table 38. NextNet Wireless
Table 39. Nortel
Table 40. Proxim Wireless
Table 41. Redline Communications
Table 42. Samsung
Table 43. Siemens
Table 44. SOMA Networks
Table 45. SkyPilot Networks
Table 46. SR Telecom

Report highlights

Fixed or mobile WiMAX? Forecasts and assessment for the transition from 802.16-2004 to 802.16e WiMAX

Table of contents

Executive Summary

Annex: Acronyms

List of Figures

List of Tables